Top Products

Walter Mosberg of the Wall Street Journal wrote his last article for that publication today. He last article provided his view of the top 12 influential tech products. Five out of twelve of the products are from Apple (in chronological order):

  • Newton MessagePad (1993)
  • iPod (2001)
  • iPhone (2007)
  • MacBook Air (2008)
  • iPad (2010)
  • These products were mixed in with products like Windows 95, Google search, FaceBook and Twitter so it is a nice little historical summary of major tech milestones in the last few years.

    Walter’s criteria for influential tech products were:

  • Products had to improve ease of use and add value for average consumers
  • Products that changed the course of digital history by influencing the products and services that followed, or by changing the way people lived and worked.
  • Steve Jobs achieved his objective of putting a dent in the universe (or at least our solar system). He doesn’t get credit for the Newton because he wasn’t in favour of it and eventually killed it. It was the one influential product that wasn’t a commercial success.

    Honda has designed a new unicycle robot

    Honda has designed and demonstrated a new unicycle that is similar to the Segway for people who want to sit down instead of stand up. The design is impressive in how it works, simplicity of use, and compactness. What remains to be seen is how much it costs, when it will be available, and whether they can increase the battery life beyond the one hour currently specified. As a benchmark the Segway X2 has a range of 19 km and a top speed (20km/h) that is twice that of the Honda unicycle. Prices for different models of Segway vary but are approximately in the range of $5,000 to $7,000.

    Apple Innovation

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    At the end of the day, I know it’s a cliche, but people are our most important asset in the world by far. It’s people who deliver innovation. We are the most focused company that I know of or have read of or have any knowledge of. We say no to good ideas every day. We say no to great ideas in order to keep the amount of things we focus on very small in number so that we can put enormous energy behind the ones we do choose.

    Apple COO Tim Cook

    Excerpt from Dan Frommer’s full interview with Tim Cook at the Goldman Tech conference February 2010.

    Microsoft Innovation

    Dick Bass on Microsoft’s lack of Innovation

    A critique from a former Microsoft VP about Microsoft issues with innovation shows that even with huge resources, talented people, and world class research, cultural roadblocks and internal competition can severely impede successful delivery of innovation.

    Official Microsoft Response

    Surprisingly, as John Gruber noted, Microsoft officially responded without refuting any of the points made. Their main arguments are that their objective is success on a large scale, that it is difficult, and it takes time sound like excuses that don’t give you the feeling that the problems are going to be addressed.

    Scott Berkun former Microsoft manager and Innovation Author

    Good to see Scott Berkun offering his opinion on Microsoft creative destruction since after all he has the background to speak authoritatively on the subject of Microsoft and innovation. His list of reasons for the problems:

  • Design by Committee
  • Design by management rank
  • Management bureaucracy
  • Lack of accountability of unprofitable divisions
  • Not learning from failures (innovation can not be done without risking failure but it is important to learn from it)
  • The key thing here is not to bash Microsoft – they have had some successes too – but to highlight issues that could be holding your organization back from innovative market success.

    Do You Want Magic or Specs?

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    There is a lot of reaction to the iPad announcement and much of it is criticism. Fraser Spiers explains it as Futureshock. Much of the commentary is about how the iPad is not like other computers as if this is a bad thing. How would innovation occur if suppliers listened to sources like ZDNet (10 things netbooks do better) that insist that all the existing features of older technology must be provided in the old way. Ultimately it is not about technical specs. It comes down to meeting user needs and enabling productivity and creativity. What many analysts are missing when they complain about what can an iPad do that con’t be done on a laptop or even netbook is it is not all about WHAT. HOW is really important too and if something is even just a little bit easier and simpler it can lead not just to better productivity but in whole new uses by reducing barriers. Existing users can do more and new users start using new tools that are suddenly more appealing to them.

    One way of thinking about it is to use the left brain/right brain paradigm. The left brain perspective compares the devices by the specs. Which device has more memory, hard drive space, processor speed, ports, etc? From a right brain wholistic perspective all the specs are irrelevant compared with what is really important – how does the device help me accomplish my purpose. How does the device make me feel, is it beautiful, how does it respond, what can I do with it, is it intuitive, can I accomplish my objectives without getting frustrated, does it distract me by making sweat a lot of details unrelated to my work or play?

    One of the ways of explaining where there is magic is that something miraculous happens and you don’t have to understand how it was done. The technology is only there to make the magic not for its own sake. Sure not all the magic is there yet in the iPad since the platform has just been announced but where is the most potential for magic? What will best enable new ways of doing new things, netbooks or iPads?

    Look at the advertising. Does the product emphasize specs or does it emphasize the experience, results, and use cases. Surely that is a clue on which is better value – what the product supports you to do.

    What makes a Successful Tablet?

    Daring Fireball has a thought provoking retrospective on the Newton regarding how the new Apple tablet will differ from its tablet predecessors. This will eventually make a classic marketing and product management case study once the dust settles and we see how successful or not the new product(s) become.

    Newton Messagepad
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    Newton Messagepad tablet Newton with keyboard

    What are some of the lessons of the Newton and other tablets which didn’t achieve widespread success?

    First it isn’t about technology although partly previous efforts have experienced issues by trying to use technologies before they worked well enough to be relied on. The critical success factor is a well defined purpose for the device and doing those things well so it has immediate value beyond the potential evolution. In fact by trying to market the device to do features that are not quite ready actually damages its reputation by encouraging people to try things that they will eventually be disappointed with. Handwriting recognition is the primary example with the Newton although it did have devotees who loved it despite its limitations.

    Take the text input challenge for a tablet. For a larger screen device how do you hold it and enter text on the screen comfortably? This is where such items as prosaic as a stand and external keyboard could be “key” but how is this reconciled with portability? Clearly both the on the go and fixed location use cases need to be addressed and the solution is most likely different for each. I think that without some surprising breakthrough, text input has to be recognized as a secondary feature for a tablet. If you want to do heavy duty text input, a laptop form factor currently makes more sense. For small amounts of text input an onscreen keyboard can work especially if the tablet is not too hot to put in a person’s lap. It is useful to have a wireless keyboard and stand for fixed use just because this functionality can be provided for little incremental cost or added complexity for that part of the market that doesn’t want to purchase the optimized device for each type of use. If voice recognition performance is reliable enough perhaps it can be another alternative added to the mix to address special case (quiet environment) text input.

    Where the tablet can shine as a primary use is as a graphic interface, mobile media viewer, and large screen sensor interface. Touch gestures could excel for drawing, media browsing, and gaming. Sure surfing the Internet or reading ebooks requires some (text) input but buttons, gestures, popup keyboards, and voice input could work much more elegantly in this environment. It is even easier to see the tablet being used for watching movies or playing games although for playing music the ipod touch should be just as good and more portable.

    Positioning the tablet as primarily a graphical touch input device also helps promote a synergy between the products so people see the need for all four. After all the ideal for Apple is to create a set of systems that all complement each other and all add value to different aspects of people’s lives. The desktop is the fixed large screen high capacity server, the laptop is the portable fairly capable general purpose computer with built-in keyboard and touchpad, the tablet is the portable media player and creative full screen graphic input touchpad, and the iphone/ipod touch are the pocket communicator sensor computers. Not everyone will have the optimized environment of all four but the ideal is for the products to have that integration and complementary functionality synergy where it makes sense while also providing stand alone capabilities that provide enough value that they can be purchased separately.

    I have left out the Apple TV or Mac Mini as a media center but that is an example of how this product spectrum extends even farther. It is not hard to imagine future products including (3D) glasses, more sensors, and projector video camera to evolve the computer into interacting with the environment even more.